Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.