Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.