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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 47.29% ( | 22.53% ( | 30.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.15% ( | 35.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.06% ( | 57.93% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.38% ( | 15.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.38% ( | 44.62% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( | 23.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% ( | 57.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 3-1 @ 5.67% ( 3-2 @ 4.11% ( 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 4-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 47.29% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.98% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.18% |