Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 4, 2025 at 6.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
1 - 1
Frankfurt

Burkardt (57')
Amiri (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kristensen (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Mainz
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 4-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 26 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
45.52% ( 0.17)	24.03% ( 0)	30.45% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 59.26% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.12% (

-0.1)

42.87% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.72% (

-0.1)

65.28% (

0.1)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97% (

0.03)

19.03% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.4% (

0.05)

50.6% (

-0.05)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

-0.16)

26.82% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

-0.21)

62.11% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 45.52%

Eintracht Frankfurt 30.45%

Draw 24.02%

Mainz 05	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 45.52%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.45%