Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.