Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Oct 25, 2026 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Neymar 31' yellowcard
  • Neymar 46' redcard
  • João Schmidt 89' yellowcard
  • Luan Peres 90'+3' goal
  • goal Luciano Juba 39'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Acevedo 44'
  • yellowcard Kanu 50'

Santos vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 8.00pm
Fluminense 1 - 2 Santos
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Gabriel Barbosa

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 10.30pm
Bahia 0 - 3 Flamengo
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Santos 46.19% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 26% ▲ (+0.08)
Bahia 27.81% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.78% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.89% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 26.11% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 50.1% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 49.9% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 28.4% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 71.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 84.18% ▲ (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Santos 36.34% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 40.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Bahia 22.74% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Santos 56.12% ▲ (+0.11)
No Goal 7.41% ▲ (+0.07)
Bahia 36.47% ▼ (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 65.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 24.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 54.02% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 34.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 42.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 57.11% ▼ (-0.03)

Santos Goals

Over 1.5 44.06% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 55.94% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 19.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.96% ▼ (-0.02)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 63.53% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 36.47% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 29.38% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 70.62% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 10.28% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 89.72% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.18% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Santos 46.19%
Draw 26.01%
Bahia 27.8%
Santos
1-0 @ 10.87% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.61% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 46.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 26.01%
Bahia
0-1 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 27.8%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Apr 25, 2026 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Gilberto 46' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro   46' yellowcard
  • Erick 72' yellowcard
  • Everaldo 73' yellowcard
  • Luciano Juba 76' goal
  • Willian José  83' goal
  • Ademir 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ademir 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamín Rollheiser 22'
  • yellowcard Benjamín Rollheiser 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Díaz 65'
  • yellowcard Miguelito 65'
  • yellowcard Moisés 79'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Bontempo 80'
  • yellowcard Tomás Rincón 80'
  • yellowcard Moisés 80'
  • yellowcard Luan Peres 89'
Brasileiro
Aug 24, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 7, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Joao Schmidt 40' yellowcard
  • Joao Schmidt 40' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 50' goal
  • Thaciano 50' goal
  • Gil 56' yellowcard
  • Gil 56' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 70' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 70' yellowcard
  • Diego Pituca 81' goal
  • Diego Pituca 81' goal
  • Diego Pituca 82' yellowcard
  • Diego Pituca 82' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro Chermont Crema 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro Chermont Crema 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Erick 17'
  • goal Erick 17'
  • yellowcard Caio Alexandre 51'
  • yellowcard Caio Alexandre 51'
  • yellowcard Erick 87'
  • yellowcard Erick 87'
  • goal Luciano 90'
  • goal Luciano 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Sep 19, 2023 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Camilo Candido 59' goal
  • Camilo Candido 59' goal
  • Lucas Mugni 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Lucas Mugni 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 73'
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 73'
  • yellowcard Joaquim 87'
  • yellowcard Joaquim 88'
  • yellowcard Lucas Lima 89'
  • goal Julio Furch 90'+4'
  • goal Julio Furch 90'+4'
Copa do Brasil
May 31, 2023 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET Arena Fonte Nova
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 69' goal
  • goal Bruno Mezenga 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 10, 2023 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Deivid Washington 4' goal
  • Stiven Mendoza 14' goal
  • Angelo Gabriel 51' goal