Europa League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Evanilson 14' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 43' goal
  • Bafodé Diakité 58' yellowcard
  • Julio Soler 66' yellowcard
  • Rayan 76' goal
  • Álvaro Rodríguez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Belmin Beganovic 41'
  • yellowcard Julian Halwachs 85'
  • yellowcard Albert Vallci 87'

Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Sturm Graz 0 - 0 Rennes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (8.07%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Bournemouth 45.46% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 25.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Sturm Graz 29.16% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.99% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.98% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 27.02% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 49.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 50.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.57% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 32.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 37.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Sturm Graz 29.97% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 45.37% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 8.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Sturm Graz 46.41% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.83% ▲ (+0.19)
Equal 8 10.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 28.48% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 9 49.7% ▲ (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 39.17% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 10.5 39.01% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 10.5 60.99% ▼ (-0.16)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 42.42% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 57.58% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 19.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 80.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 60.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 39.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 30.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.89%
Under 2.5 87.11%
Over 3.5 4.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 45.47%
Draw 25.35%
Sturm Graz 29.14%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 11.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 45.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.35%
Sturm Graz
0-1 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 29.14%

Build-up

How to watch