Club Friendlies 3
Jul 17, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Algarve
  • Rafa Silva 52' goal
  • Enzo Barrenechea 55' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 76' goal
  • yellowcard Gerard Moreno 31'

Benfica vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 7.30pm
Benfica 1 - 2 Flamengo

Villarreal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%) , while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Benfica 61.78% (-0.04)
Draw 20.6% (-0.08)
Villarreal 17.57% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.9% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.96% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.04% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 59.43% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 40.57% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 36.7% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 63.3% (-0.23)
Over 4.5 23.46% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 76.54% (-0.20)

First Half Winner

Benfica 45.02%
Draw 37.4% (-0.04)
Villarreal 17.58% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Benfica 66.21% (-0.08)
No Goal 4.57% (-0.03)
Villarreal 29.22% (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 63.28% (-0.29)
Equal 8 10.7% (+0.03)
Under 8 26.02% (+0.25)
Over 9 51.9% (-0.29)
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 36.72% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 40.78% (-0.27)
Under 10.5 59.22% (+0.27)

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 59.89% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 40.11% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 33.13% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 66.87% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 14.8% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 85.2% (-0.13)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 54.88% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 45.12% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.38% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 76.62% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 6.93% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.07% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.89% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.11% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Benfica 61.78%
Draw 20.6%
Villarreal 17.56%
Benfica
2-1 @ 10.47% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 4.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 14.7% (+0.15)
Total : 61.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.02)
Total : 20.6%
Villarreal
1-2 @ 5% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.64% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.18% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.6% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.51% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.79% (+0.05)
Total : 17.56%