Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Roi Baudouin
  • Diego Moreira 42' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 57' yellowcard
  • Youri Tielemans 66' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Olise 88'

Belgium vs France - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Italy 0 - 2 Belgium

France

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Turkey 0 - 1 France

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for France had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest France win was 1-2 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Belgium 45.09% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 22.01% ▲ (+0.05)
France 32.87% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.66% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 15.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 64.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 35.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 42.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 57.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 27.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 72.9% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Belgium 38.06% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 34.61% ▲ (+0.08)
France 27.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Belgium 54.37% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 3.84% ▼ (-0.02)
France 41.79% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 62.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 8 9.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 27.06% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 52.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 37.02% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 10.5 42.04%
Under 10.5 57.96%

Belgium Goals

Over 1.5 49.94% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 50.06% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 26.91% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 73.09% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 11.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.33% ▲ (+0.02)

France Goals

Over 0.5 68.73% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 31.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 40.1% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 59.9% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 17.86% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 82.14% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 6.89% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 93.11% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Belgium 45.07%
Draw 22.02%
France 32.87%
Belgium
2-1 @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 45.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.02%
France
1-2 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 32.87%

Head to Head

Nations League
Oct 14, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Roi Baudouin
  • Orel Mangala 29' yellowcard
  • Lois Openda 45'+3' goal
  • Wout Faes 53' yellowcard
  • Charles De Ketelaere 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 7'
  • yellowcard William Saliba 22'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 24'
  • goal Randal Kolo 35'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Konate 45'
  • goal Randal Kolo 62'
  • redcard Aurelien Tchouameni 76'
  • yellowcard Mike Maignan 79'
Nations League
Sep 9, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Gerard Houllier
  • Kouadio Kone 4' yellowcard
  • Lucas Digne 8' yellowcard
  • Randal Kolo 29' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 57' goal
  • yellowcard Lois Openda 8'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 38'
European Championship
Jul 1, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Spiel-Arena
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 14' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 23' yellowcard
  • Adrien Rabiot 24' yellowcard
  • Jan Vertonghen 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jan Vertonghen 76'
  • yellowcard Domenico Tedesco 76'
  • yellowcard Orel Mangala 90'+3'
Nations League
Oct 7, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Yannick Carrasco 37' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 40' goal
  • Jan Vertonghen 67' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 62'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 69'
  • goal Theo Hernandez 90'
World Cup
Jul 10, 2018 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Krestovsky Stadium
  • Samuel Umtiti 51' goal
International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2015 8.00pm
3
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Yohan Cabaye 41' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Valbuena 53' goal
  • Nabil Fekir 89' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 91' goal
  • goal Marouane ­Fellaini 17'
  • goal Marouane ­Fellaini 42'
  • goal Radja Nainggolan 50'
  • goal Eden Hazard 54'