/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fauslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fserlog.png)
-
Michael Gregoritsch
37'
-
Lazar Samardzic
61'
Austria vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fralf-rangnick.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 13.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result
Austria
65.16%
▲
(+1.33)
Draw
20.98%
▼
(-0.50)
Serbia
13.86%
▼
(-0.84)
Both Teams to Score:
45.5%
▼
(-0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.51%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 2.5
49.49%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 3.5
28.47%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 3.5
71.52%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 4.5
13.63%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 4.5
86.37%
▼
(-0.24)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5
85.57%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 0.5
14.42%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 1.5
57.64%
▲
(+1.06)
Under 1.5
42.36%
▼
(-1.06)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5
53.17%
▼
(-0.99)
Under 0.5
46.83%
▲
(+0.99)
Over 1.5
17.64%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 1.5
82.36%
▲
(+0.76)
Score analysis
Austria
65.15%
Draw
20.98%
Serbia
13.86%
Austria
1-0
@
13.08%
▲
(+0.06)
2-0 @ 12.66% ▲ (+0.30)
2-1 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.34)
3-1 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.24)
4-1 @ 3% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 65.15%
2-0 @ 12.66% ▲ (+0.30)
2-1 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.34)
3-1 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.24)
4-1 @ 3% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 65.15%
Draw
1-1
@
9.92%
▼
(-0.24)
0-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 20.98%
0-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 20.98%
Serbia
0-1
@
5.13%
▼
(-0.23)
1-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 13.86%
1-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 13.86%
