Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 3, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
  • Giuliano Simeone 79' yellowcard
  • goal Lennart Karl 54'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 56'
  • goal Konrad Laimer 74'
  • yellowcard Josip Stanisic 90'+1'

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Madrid 34.84% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 21.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Bayern Munich 43.55% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.74% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 16.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 64.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 35.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 42.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 57.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 27.67% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 72.33% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 27.09%
Draw 34.74%
Bayern Munich 38.18%

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 44.42% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 3.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Bayern Munich 51.67% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.71%
Equal 8 10.48%
Under 8 34.81%
Over 9 44.24%
Equal 9 10.47%
Under 9 45.29%
Over 10.5 34.54%
Under 10.5 65.46%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 40.84% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 59.16% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 18.78% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 81.22% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 7.25% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 92.75% ▲ (+0.07)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 76.02% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 23.98% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 49.05% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 50.95% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 25.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 74.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.2% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 34.85%
Draw 21.62%
Bayern Munich 43.56%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.13%
2-0 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 34.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.62%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.77%
0-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 11.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 43.56%

Head to Head

Champions League
Dec 1, 2020 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Joao Felix 26' goal
  • Stefan Savic 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bouna Sarr 43'
  • goal Thomas Muller 86'
Champions League
Oct 21, 2020 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • David Alaba 5' yellowcard
  • Thomas Muller 21' yellowcard
  • Kingsley Coman 28' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 41' goal
  • Corentin Tolisso 66' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 72' goal
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 43'
  • yellowcard Koke 44'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Torreira 90'+2'
Champions League
Dec 6, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robert Lewandowski 28' goal
  • yellowcard Gabi 61'
Champions League
Sep 28, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Saul Niguez 15' yellowcard
  • Yannick Carrasco 35' goal
  • yellowcard Philipp Lahm 25'
  • yellowcard Thiago Alcantara 33'
  • yellowcard Jerome Boateng 40'
  • yellowcard Arturo Vidal 86'
Champions League
May 3, 2016 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Xabi Alonso 31' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 74' goal
  • Javi Martinez 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 33'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 54'
Champions League
Apr 27, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Saul Niguez 11' goal
  • Saul Niguez 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Costa 40'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Benatia 82'
  • yellowcard Manuel Neuer 82'
  • yellowcard Arturo Vidal 88'

Build-up

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