Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 20, 2026 8.00pm
MHPArena

Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 5.45pm
Stuttgart 3 - 1 Viking FK

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stuttgart win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 37.47% and a draw has a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 1-2 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.74%).

Result

Stuttgart 40.57% ▼ (-0.37)
Draw 21.93% ▲ (+0.29)
Atletico Madrid 37.47% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.19% ▲ (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.29% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 17.71% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 62.01% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 37.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 38.83% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 3.5 61.17% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 4.5 24.75% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 75.25% ▲ (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Stuttgart 39.26% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 37.55% ▲ (+0.15)
Atletico Madrid 23.18% ▼ (-0.29)

Team To Score First

Stuttgart 57.69% ▲ (+0.87)
No Goal 4.35% ▲ (+0.10)
Atletico Madrid 37.96% ▼ (-0.97)

Corners

Over 8 54.3% ▼ (-5.25)
Equal 8 10.32% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 35.38% ▲ (+5.19)
Over 9 44.01% ▼ (-4.93)
Equal 9 10.29% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 9 45.7% ▲ (+5.25)
Over 10.5 34.5% ▼ (-4.29)
Under 10.5 65.5% ▲ (+4.29)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 1.5 44.73% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 55.27% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 21.6% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 78.4% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 9.41% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 90.59% ▲ (+0.22)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 70.59% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 0.5 29.41% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 41.92% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 58.08% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 19.85% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 80.15% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 7.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Stuttgart 40.57%
Draw 21.94%
Atletico Madrid 37.46%
Stuttgart
2-1 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.36)
1-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.31)
3-1 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.28)
Total : 40.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 21.94%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 37.46%