Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 21, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ross Barkley 23' goal
  • Emiliano Buendía 37' goal
  • Henrik Heggheim 62' goal
  • goal Peter Christiansen 84'

Aston Villa vs Viking FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 5.45pm
Brugge 2 - 3 Aston Villa

Viking FK

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 5.45pm
Stuttgart 3 - 1 Viking FK

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.29%) and 0-2 (5.12%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Aston Villa 36.4% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 23.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Viking FK 40.28% ▲ (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.2% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.86% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 17.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 62.76% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 37.24% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 41.13% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 58.87% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 26.05% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 73.95% ▼ (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 30.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 38% ▼ (-0.11)
Viking FK 31.64% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 46.61% ▼ (-0.15)
No Goal 4.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Viking FK 48.97% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 64.6% ▲ (+0.44)
Equal 8 9.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 8 25.72% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 9 54.19% ▲ (+0.47)
Equal 9 10.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 35.4% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 10.5 43.84% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 10.5 56.16% ▼ (-0.46)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 42.37% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 57.63% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 19.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.19% ▼ (-0.02)

Viking FK Goals

Over 0.5 74.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 25.9% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 46.18% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 1.5 53.82% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 2.5 23.14% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 76.86% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 9.97% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 90.03% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 36.4%
Draw 23.33%
Viking FK 40.28%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.33%
Total : 36.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.33%
Viking FK
1-2 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.29%
0-2 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 40.28%

Build-up

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