Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.65%) and 0-1 (6.62%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.