Champions League
Feb 17, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Folarin Balogun 1' goal
  • Folarin Balogun 18' goal
  • Krepin Diatta 58' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Coulibaly 70' yellowcard
  • Aladji Bamba 70' yellowcard
  • Mika Biereth 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitinha 22'
  • yellowcard Desire Doue 27'
  • goal Desire Doue 29'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 41'
  • goal Desire Doue 67'
  • yellowcard Lee Kang-in 69'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Ramos 81'

Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.65%) and 0-1 (6.62%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Monaco 30.03% (+1.25)
Draw 21.48% (+0.45)
Paris Saint-Germain 48.49% (-1.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.14% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.09% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 15.91% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 64.76% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 35.24% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 42.31% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 57.69% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 27.47% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 72.53% (-0.27)

First Half Winner

Monaco 25.98% (+5.23)
Draw 38.79% (+2.09)
Paris Saint-Germain 35.23% (-7.32)

Team To Score First

Monaco 41.45% (+5.18)
No Goal 3.87% (+0.06)
Paris Saint-Germain 54.68% (-5.22)

Corners

Over 8 51.71% (-0.68)
Equal 8 11.38% (-0.53)
Under 8 36.91% (+1.21)
Over 9 40.63% (-0.12)
Equal 9 11.07% (-0.57)
Under 9 48.29% (+0.68)
Over 10.5 30.69% (+0.38)
Under 10.5 69.31% (-0.38)

Monaco Goals

Over 1.5 37.15% (+1.31)
Under 1.5 62.85% (-1.31)
Over 2.5 16.35% (+0.88)
Under 2.5 83.65% (-0.87)
Over 3.5 5.53% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 94.47% (-0.24)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 79.54% (-0.65)
Under 0.5 20.46% (+0.65)
Over 1.5 53.6% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 46.4% (+0.84)
Over 2.5 28.51% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 71.49% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 13.23% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 86.77% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Monaco 30.03%
Draw 21.47%
Paris Saint-Germain 48.5%
Monaco
2-1 @ 6.92% (+0.30)
1-0 @ 5.42% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 3.71% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 3.43% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.09% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 2.26% (+0.27)
Other @ 5.2% (+0.17)
Total : 30.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.97% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.26% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 3.87% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2.04% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.33% (+0.06)
Total : 21.47%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.48)
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.38)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.57)
0-3 @ 4.18% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.22)
Other @ 12.9% (+0.09)
Total : 48.5%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 29, 2025 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lamine Camara 12' yellowcard
  • Takumi Minamino 68' goal
  • Thilo Kehrer 78' yellowcard
  • Thilo Kehrer 80' redcard
  • Sebastien Pocognoli 87' yellowcard
  • Krepin Diatta 88' yellowcard
  • Sebastien Pocognoli 88' yellowcard
  • Jordan Teze 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitinha 33'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2025 8.05pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Vitinha 6' goal
  • Desire Doue 28' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 54' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 57' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 90' goal
  • goal Denis Zakaria 17'
Trophee des Champions
Jan 5, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium 974
  • Nuno Mendes 23' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 87' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Vanderson 35'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 18, 2024 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Wilfried Singo 13' yellowcard
  • Lamine Camara 29' yellowcard
  • Eliesse Ben Seghir 53' goal
  • Breel Embolo 60' goal
  • Adi Hutter 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Desire Doue 24'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 64'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 83'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2023 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Goncalo Ramos 18' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 39' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 70' goal
  • Vitinha 72' goal
  • Randal Kolo 90'+6' goal
  • goal Takumi Minamino 22'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Singo 59'
  • goal Folarin Balogun 75'