CONCACAF Nations League
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Tyron Perret Gentil
6'
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Tyron Perret Gentil
6'
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Tyron Perret Gentil
28'
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Tyron Perret Gentil
28'
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Javier Jimenez
33'
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Javier Jimenez
33'
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Isai Marselia
79'
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Isai Marselia
79'
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Frantzdy Pierrot
31'
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Frantzdy Pierrot
31'
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Duckens Nazon
38'
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Duckens Nazon
38'
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Duckens Nazon
61'
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Duckens Nazon
61'
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Carlens Arcus
62'
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Carlens Arcus
62'
Aruba vs Haiti - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Aruba had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 0-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for an Aruba win it was 2-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.
Result
Aruba
17.66%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
19.95%
▼
(-0.03)
Haiti
62.38%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
57.77%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.33%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
37.66%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
40.09%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
59.9%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
22.22%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
77.78%
▼
(-0.06)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5
65.33%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
34.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
28.61%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
71.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5
88.42%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
11.58%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
63.46%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
36.53%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Aruba
17.66%
Draw
19.95%
Haiti
62.38%
Aruba
2-1
@
4.86%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 17.66%
1-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 17.66%
Draw
1-1
@
9.17%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24%
0-0 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.95%
2-2 @ 5.24%
0-0 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.95%
Haiti
1-2
@
9.88%
▼
(-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 62.38%
0-2 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 62.38%