Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 13, 2026 4.00pm

Tunisia vs Libya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Tunisia 1 - 1 Uganda

Libya

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
Libya 2 - 2 Botswana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tunisia win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw has a probability of 24.2% and a win for Libya has a probability of 20.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.62%) , while for a Libya win it is 0-1 (6.83%).

Result

Tunisia 55.05%
Draw 24.2%
Libya 20.75%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.6%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 27.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 47.33%
Under 2.5 52.67%
Over 3.5 26.12%
Under 3.5 73.88%
Over 4.5 15.13%
Under 4.5 84.87%

First Half Winner

Tunisia 39.46%
Draw 44.36%
Libya 16.18%

Team To Score First

Tunisia 62.48%
No Goal 8.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Libya 29.45% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 44.09%
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 44.33%
Over 9 33.49%
Equal 9 10.61%
Under 9 55.91%
Over 10.5 24.5%
Under 10.5 75.5%

Tunisia Goals

Over 1.5 47.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 23.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.75%
Under 3.5 91.25%

Libya Goals

Over 0.5 54.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 45.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 21.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 78.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 5.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 94.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.38% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Tunisia 55.05%
Draw 24.21%
Libya 20.76%
Tunisia
1-0 @ 12.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 8.74%
Total : 55.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.21%
Libya
0-1 @ 6.83%
1-2 @ 5.29%
0-2 @ 3.22%
1-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.76%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 28, 2023 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Haythem Jouini 16'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Youssef Msakni 12' goal
  • Ali Maaloul 21' goal
  • Haythem Jouini 86' goal