/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fugalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fliblog_1.png)
-
Arnold Vula
45'+2'
-
Rogers Mato
77'
-
Fadel Mansour
51'
-
Saif Jaddour
62'
-
Mahmoud Al-Shalui
86'
Uganda vs Libya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Libya had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%) , while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result
Uganda
47.66%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
27.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Libya
24.64%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
48.11%
Goals
Over 1.5
71.53%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
28.47%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
48.07%
Under 2.5
51.93%
Over 3.5
26.74%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
73.26%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
15.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
84.48%
▼
(-0.01)
First Half Winner
Uganda
36.24%
Draw
48.13%
Libya
15.63%
Team To Score First
Uganda
59.65%
▼
(-0.04)
No Goal
9.43%
▲
(+0.01)
Libya
30.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Corners
Over 8
40.04%
Equal 8
11.44%
Under 8
48.52%
Over 9
29.9%
Equal 9
10.14%
Under 9
59.96%
Over 10.5
21.58%
Under 10.5
78.42%
Uganda Goals
Over 1.5
43.83%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
56.17%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 2.5
20.36%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
79.64%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
7.71%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
92.29%
▼
(-0.02)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5
58.32%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
41.68%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
26.16%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
73.84%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
9.66%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
90.34%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
3.07%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
96.93%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Uganda
47.67%
Draw
27.71%
Libya
24.63%
Uganda
1-0
@
11.87%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3%
Other @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 47.67%
2-1 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3%
Other @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 47.67%
Draw
1-1
@
11.87%
0-0 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.71%
0-0 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.71%
Libya
0-1
@
7.18%
1-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.31%
1-3 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.31%
1-3 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.63%