Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 4.00pm
Accra Sports Stadium

Niger vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Niger

All competitions

Lesotho

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Niger win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Lesotho has a probability of 25.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Niger win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Lesotho win is 0-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.42%).

Result

Niger 49.39% ▼ (-4.77)
Draw 25.21% ▲ (+1.11)
Lesotho 25.4% ▲ (+3.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.37% ▲ (+1.97)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.46% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 26.54% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 51.85% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 48.15% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 3.5 30.69% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 3.5 69.31% ▼ (-0.94)
Over 4.5 19.16% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 4.5 80.84% ▼ (-0.71)

First Half Winner

Niger 39.08%
Draw 43.96%
Lesotho 16.96%

Team To Score First

Niger 63.86% ▼ (-0.24)
No Goal 8.89% ▲ (+0.34)
Lesotho 27.25% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 23.03%
Equal 8 8.66%
Under 8 68.3%
Over 9 16.51%
Equal 9 6.52%
Under 9 76.97%
Over 10.5 11.87%
Under 10.5 88.13%

Niger Goals

Over 1.5 46.92% ▼ (-3.16)
Under 1.5 53.08% ▲ (+3.16)
Over 2.5 24.35% ▼ (-1.97)
Under 2.5 75.65% ▲ (+1.97)
Over 3.5 10.55% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 3.5 89.45% ▲ (+0.75)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 57.66% ▲ (+3.69)
Under 0.5 42.34% ▼ (-3.69)
Over 1.5 26.45% ▲ (+3.61)
Under 1.5 73.55% ▼ (-3.61)
Over 2.5 10.18% ▲ (+2.07)
Under 2.5 89.82% ▼ (-2.07)
Over 3.5 3.32% ▲ (+0.89)
Under 3.5 96.68% ▼ (-0.89)

Score analysis

Niger 49.39%
Draw 25.21%
Lesotho 25.4%
Niger
1-0 @ 10.21% ▼ (-0.72)
2-1 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.42)
2-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-1.39)
3-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-1.11)
3-1 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.46)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 10.27% ▼ (-0.83)
Total : 49.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42% ▲ (+0.20)
0-0 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.34)
2-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.31)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 25.21%
Lesotho
0-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.75)
1-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.58)
0-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.56)
1-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.39)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.32)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.82)
Total : 25.4%