Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 4
Nov 17, 2026 4.00pm
11 June Stadium

Libya vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Libya

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
Libya 2 - 2 Botswana

Tunisia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Tunisia 1 - 1 Uganda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Libya win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Tunisia has a probability of 32.37% and a draw has a probability of 28.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Tunisia win is 0-1 (10.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.3%).

Result

Libya 38.75% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 28.91% ▼ (-0.52)
Tunisia 32.37% ▲ (+0.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.8% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.33% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 1.5 33.67% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 2.5 39.95% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 2.5 60.05% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 3.5 19.64% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 3.5 80.36% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 4.5 10.25% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 4.5 89.75% ▼ (-0.35)

First Half Winner

Libya 32.88% ▲ (+0.94)
Draw 46.14% ▲ (+0.12)
Tunisia 20.98% ▼ (-1.06)

Team To Score First

Libya 50.26% ▲ (+0.84)
No Goal 10.73% ▼ (-0.19)
Tunisia 39.01% ▼ (-0.65)

Corners

Over 8 33.24% ▼ (-0.62)
Equal 8 11.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 55.56% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 9 23.88% ▼ (-0.56)
Equal 9 9.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 9 66.76% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 10.5 16.63% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 10.5 83.37% ▲ (+0.46)

Libya Goals

Over 1.5 32.95% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 67.05% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 12.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.93% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.07% ▼ (-0.09)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5 62.9% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 0.5 37.1% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 1.5 28.01% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 1.5 71.99% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 2.5 9.62% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 2.5 90.38% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 3.5 2.76% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 97.24% ▼ (-0.22)

Score analysis

Libya 38.75%
Draw 28.91%
Tunisia 32.37%
Libya
1-0 @ 12.17% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 38.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3% ▼ (-0.23)
0-0 @ 10.73% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 28.91%
Tunisia
0-1 @ 10.8% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 32.37%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 13, 2026 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane 71' yellowcard
  • Aïssa Laïdouni 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Osama Elsharimi 30'
  • goal Ali Youssif 44'
  • goal Hamdou El Houni 62'
  • yellowcard Hamdou El Houni 62'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 28, 2023 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Haythem Jouini 16'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Youssef Msakni 12' goal
  • Ali Maaloul 21' goal
  • Haythem Jouini 86' goal