Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 13, 2026 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Franceville
  • Denis Bouanga 65' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 79' goal
  • yellowcard T. Makhele 36'
  • yellowcard Pheko Molaoa 40'
  • yellowcard Thabang Malane 62'
  • yellowcard Neo Mokhachane 74'
  • yellowcard 74'

Gabon vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gabon

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Morocco 2 - 0 Gabon

Lesotho

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 4.00pm
Niger 2 - 1 Lesotho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gabon win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw has a probability of 20.22% and a win for Lesotho has a probability of 17.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.31%) , while for a Lesotho win it is 0-1 (5.4%).

Result

Gabon 62.16%
Draw 20.22%
Lesotho 17.63% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 52.53% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 47.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.4%
Under 3.5 69.6%
Over 4.5 19.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 80.17% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Gabon 53.29%
Draw 36.45%
Lesotho 10.26%

Team To Score First

Gabon 71.55% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 6.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Lesotho 21.58%

Corners

Over 8 33.37%
Equal 8 10.72%
Under 8 55.9%
Over 9 24.39%
Equal 9 8.98%
Under 9 66.63%
Over 10.5 17.39%
Under 10.5 82.61%

Gabon Goals

Over 1.5 55.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 44.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 30.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 69.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.79%
Under 3.5 86.21%

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 48.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 51.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 18.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 81.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.72%
Under 3.5 98.28%

Score analysis

Gabon 62.16%
Draw 20.23%
Lesotho 17.63%
Gabon
1-0 @ 12.04% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.27% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 2.63%
Other @ 13.78%
Total : 62.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.31%
0-0 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.23%
Lesotho
0-1 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 17.63%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 15, 2024 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Moses Mabhida Stadium
  • Rethabile Rasethuntsa 53' yellowcard
  • goal Shavy Babicka 55'
  • goal Rody Junior Effaghe 84'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 11, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Franceville
  • yellowcard Tsepo Toloane 17'
  • yellowcard Thato Malakia Sefoli 41'
  • yellowcard Thabo Mats'oele 44'
  • yellowcard Thabo Makhele 53'
  • yellowcard Katleho Makateng 71'
  • yellowcard Sekhoane Moerane 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lisema Lebokollane 90'+9'