Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 12, 2026 4.00pm
Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
Congo DR 2 - 0 Eq Guinea

Sierra Leone

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Sierra Leone 2 - 3 Zimbabwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Congo DR win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw has a probability of 26.83% and a win for Sierra Leone has a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.11%) , while for a Sierra Leone win it is 0-1 (8%).

Result

Congo DR 53.71% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 26.83%
Sierra Leone 19.46% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.74% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.91% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 34.09% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 39.51% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 60.49% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 19.63% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 80.37% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 10.78% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 89.22% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Congo DR 35.97%
Draw 44.59%
Sierra Leone 19.45%

Team To Score First

Congo DR 57.17% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 11.02% ▲ (+0.05)
Sierra Leone 31.81% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 32.21%
Equal 8 11.11%
Under 8 56.68%
Over 9 23.01%
Equal 9 9.2%
Under 9 67.79%
Over 10.5 15.94%
Under 10.5 84.06%

Congo DR Goals

Over 1.5 43.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 6.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.32% ▲ (+0.02)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5 50.53% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 49.47% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 16.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 83.03% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 4.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 95.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.01%
Under 3.5 98.99%

Score analysis

Congo DR 53.71%
Draw 26.83%
Sierra Leone 19.47%
Congo DR
1-0 @ 15.08% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 11.19% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 53.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 11.02% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 26.83%
Sierra Leone
0-1 @ 8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 19.47%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 27, 2022 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte
  • Ben Malango 70' goal
  • Edo Kayembe 73' goal
  • E. Meschack 74' goal