International Friendlies
Oct 5, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mandela National Stadium
  • 80' yellowcard
  • James Bogere 90'+1' goal
  • goal Nathanaël Mbuku 64'

Uganda vs Congo DR - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 2, 2026 2.00pm
Congo DR 0 - 2 Uganda

Congo DR

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 2, 2026 2.00pm
Congo DR 0 - 2 Uganda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Congo DR win with a probability of 42.27%. A draw has a probability of 29.39% and a win for Uganda has a probability of 28.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.61%) , while for a Uganda win it is 1-0 (10.7%).

Result

Uganda 28.31% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 29.39% ▼ (-0.10)
Congo DR 42.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.79% ▲ (+0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.05% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 1.5 33.95% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 2.5 39.52% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 60.48% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 20.3% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 3.5 79.7% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 4.5 10.6% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 4.5 89.4% ▼ (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Uganda 27.35%
Draw 51.77%
Congo DR 20.88%

Team To Score First

Uganda 49% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 10.88% ▼ (-0.15)
Congo DR 40.12% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 29.21%
Equal 8 10.86%
Under 8 59.93%
Over 9 20.47%
Equal 9 8.74%
Under 9 70.79%
Over 10.5 13.93%
Under 10.5 86.07%

Uganda Goals

Over 1.5 24.33% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 75.67% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 2.5 7.38% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 92.62% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 1.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.12% ▼ (-0.05)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5 70.28% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 29.72% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 36.2% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 63.8% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 14.59% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 85.41% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 4.95% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 95.05% ▼ (-0.14)

Score analysis

Uganda 28.31%
Draw 29.39%
Congo DR 42.29%
Uganda
1-0 @ 10.7% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 28.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.61% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 10.88% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 29.39%
Congo DR
0-1 @ 12.36% ▼ (-0.20)
1-2 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 8.01% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 42.29%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 2, 2026 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte
  • goal James Bogere 7'
  • goal Kelvin Boateng 49'
International Friendlies
Jun 14, 2023 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Omnisport de Limbe
  • Theo Bongonda 26' goal
African Nations Championship
Jan 14, 2023 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte
Africa Cup of Nations
Jun 22, 2019 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Cairo International Stadium
  • Yannick Bolasie 45' yellowcard
  • Merveille Bokadi 54' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick Kaddu 14'
  • yellowcard Murushidi Jjuko 35'
  • goal Emmanuel Okwi 46'