Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.