Australian A-League | Gameweek 29

May 2, 2025 at 10.35am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar

De Lima (3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Klein (17', 50')
Bility (25'), Halloran (73'), Hore (83')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 2-2 Macarthur
Sunday, April 20 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, April 26 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Brisbane Roar
46.02% ( 7.87)	22.17% ( -0.79)	31.81% ( -7.08)

Both teams to score 66.88% (

1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.81% (

2.43)

33.18% (

-2.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.06% (

2.74)

54.93% (

-2.74)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94% (

4.16)

15.06% (

-4.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.43% (

7.34)

43.57% (

-7.35)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.73% (

-2.39)

21.26% (

2.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.81% (

-3.84)

54.18% (

3.83)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 46.02%

Brisbane Roar 31.81%

Draw 22.17%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.66) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.8) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 1.08) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.57) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.91) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.79) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.5) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.6) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.2) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.39) Other @ 3.28% Total : 46.02%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.43) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.17%	1-2 @ 7.27% ( -1.05) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -1.09) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -1.21) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.87) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.82) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.48) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.65% Total : 31.81%