Europa League
Apr 16, 2026 8.00pm
The City Ground

Nottingham Forest vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Porto 1 - 1 Nott'm Forest

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Porto 1 - 1 Nott'm Forest

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 26.01% and a draw has a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win is 1-0 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.51%).

Result

Nottingham Forest 26.01% (+0.07)
Draw 24.69% (+0.02)
Porto 49.3% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.87% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.87% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 25.13% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 50.65% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 49.35% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 29.06% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 70.94% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 16.64% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 83.36% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Nottingham Forest 23.09%
Draw 41.26% (+0.01)
Porto 35.65% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Nottingham Forest 38.56%
No Goal 6.91% (-0.02)
Porto 54.53% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 51.8% (-0.38)
Equal 8 11.78% (+0.06)
Under 8 36.43% (+0.33)
Over 9 40.35% (-0.40)
Equal 9 11.44% (+0.02)
Under 9 48.2% (+0.38)
Over 10.5 30.12% (-0.38)
Under 10.5 69.88% (+0.38)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 1.5 27.96% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 72.04% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 9.61% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 90.39% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.76% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.24% (-0.04)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 77.65% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 22.35% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 46.53% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 53.47% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 21.46% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 78.54% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 8.15% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.85% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 26.02%
Draw 24.7%
Porto 49.31%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 7.27% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.22%
2-0 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.61% (+0.03)
Total : 26.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.7%
Porto
0-1 @ 10.98% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-2 @ 8.59% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.03)
Other @ 8% (+0.04)
Total : 49.31%

Head to Head

Europa League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • William Gomes 11' goal
  • Alberto Costa 19' yellowcard
  • Victor Froholdt 59' yellowcard
  • Deniz Gül 59' yellowcard
  • Pepê 59' yellowcard
  • Alan Varela 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • goal Martim Fernandes 13' (OG)
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenković 46'
  • yellowcard Igor Jesus 46'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson  60'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 61'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangaré 74'
Europa League
Oct 23, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT