Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Roma |
17.61% ( -0.19) | 21.97% ( -0.22) | 60.42% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% ( 0.61) | 46.87% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% ( 0.56) | 69.12% ( -0.56) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.77% ( 0.13) | 40.23% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.14% ( 0.12) | 76.86% ( -0.11) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.93% ( 0.34) | 15.07% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.42% ( 0.63) | 43.59% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.61% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.96% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 10.85% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.24% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 3.24% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 60.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |