Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Bologna | 4 | -3 | 2 |
17 | Hellas Verona | 4 | -4 | 2 |
18 | Sampdoria | 4 | -6 | 2 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Hellas Verona | 4 | -4 | 2 |
18 | Sampdoria | 4 | -6 | 2 |
19 | Cremonese | 4 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Sampdoria |
45.88% ( -0.15) | 26.67% ( -0.09) | 27.45% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 48.89% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.46% ( 0.47) | 55.54% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.29% ( 0.39) | 76.71% ( -0.39) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% ( 0.13) | 24.16% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% ( 0.19) | 58.48% ( -0.19) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.46% ( 0.45) | 35.54% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.69% ( 0.46) | 72.31% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 45.87% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 27.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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