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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Roma
0 - 1
Atalanta


Mourinho (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Scalvini (35')
Maehle (23'), Toloi (47'), Hateboer (55'), Demiral (76'), de Roon (80'), Koopmeiners (87'), Malinovskyi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:
Last Game: Roma 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Cremonese
Sunday, September 11 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-1 Atalanta BC

 While their visitors are clearly benefiting from empty midweeks, having failed to qualify for Europe last term, Roma were able to cruise through the latter stages of their Thursday night match after HJK's captain was sent off. Therefore, the combination of home advantage and greater individual ability up front should decide a closely contested affair in the Giallorossi's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
45.23% (0.617 0.62) 28.15% (-0.168 -0.17) 26.63% (-0.449 -0.45)
Both teams to score 44.29% (0.143 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86% (0.33 0.33)61.14% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9% (0.247 0.25)81.1% (-0.245 -0.25)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (0.477 0.48)27.02% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (0.619 0.62)62.38% (-0.618 -0.62)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69% (-0.2 -0.2)39.31% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (-0.187 -0.19)76.02% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Roma 45.23%
    Atalanta BC 26.63%
    Draw 28.14%
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 13.9% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.132 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 45.23%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.62% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 9.92% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Roma vs Atalanta

Roma
64.2%
Draw
22.6%
Atalanta BC
13.1%
137
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
Apr 22, 2021 5.30pm
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
Atalanta
4-1
Roma
Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')
Feb 15, 2020 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
Luis Palomino (50'), Pasalic (59')
Gosens (55')
Dzeko (45')
Mancini (11'), Mkhitaryan (27'), Fazio (88'), Perez (90'), Lopez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816
> Serie A Full Table


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