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Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Houston Dynamo

Montreal
1 - 1
Houston

Lappalainen (90+6')
Piette (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Artur (10')
Ibrahim (18'), Bartlow (56'), Carrasquilla (62'), Quinones (84'), Escobar (90+3'), Baird (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Montreal
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-2 Houston Dynamo

It is usually very good or very poor with Montreal, with their 11 wins and 16 defeats from 31 MLS games this season, but with the pressure on against tough opposition, this could be a struggle. The post-cup-win hangover can be forgiven after an uneventful draw at the weekend, but Houston could well return to winning ways here.

How to watch

You can watch CF Montreal vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawHouston Dynamo
47.89% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.48% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 26.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.56% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)51.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.75% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.25% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.012 -0.01)21.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)54.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.7% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 47.9%
    Houston Dynamo 26.63%
    Draw 25.48%
CF MontrealDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 47.9%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Montreal vs Houston

CF Montreal
16.7%
Draw
25.0%
Houston Dynamo
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 2am
Houston
2-3
Montreal
Ferreira (12'), Steres (36')
Quioto (15' pen.), Johnston (28'), Lappalainen (69')
Nov 3, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 45
Montreal
2-0
Houston
Camacho (58'), Miller (63')
Breza (90+1')

Hoffmann (44'), Lassiter (53'), Carrasquilla (85')
Apr 18, 2020 6pm
Mar 9, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 2
Houston
2-1
Montreal
Rodriguez (36'), Manotas (86')
Garcia (74'), Quioto (77')
Taider (34')
Sagna (77'), Cabrera (88')
Jun 3, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Montreal
1-0
Houston
Vargas (44')
Edwards (65')

Elis (29'), Gil (33'), Lundqvist (69'), Martinez (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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