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Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
FC Cincinnati

Montreal
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Opoku (53')
Wanyama (34'), Sirois (90+5'), Offor (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Acosta (90+7' pen.)
Miazga (90'), Arias (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-2 FC Cincinnati

The last five meetings between Cincinnati and Montreal have produced a combined 26 goals and we anticipate another action-packed contest at the Saputo Stadium. Noonan's men have been decent away from home in recent weeks and we predict that they will hold out for another share of the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch CF Montreal vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawFC Cincinnati
46.89% (0.204 0.2) 25.14% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 27.97% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.89% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (0.083999999999996 0.08)49.19% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (0.077000000000002 0.08)71.26% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.125 0.13)21% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (0.193 0.19)53.78% (-0.191 -0.19)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)31.77% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)68.2% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 46.88%
    FC Cincinnati 27.97%
    Draw 25.14%
CF MontrealDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 46.88%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 27.97%

How you voted: Montreal vs Cincinnati

CF Montreal
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
FC Cincinnati
37.5%
8
Head to Head
May 18, 2023 12.30am
May 29, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
4-3
Cincinnati
Waterman (21'), Quioto (45+4', 59' pen.), Choiniere (46')
Waterman (53'), Camacho (86'), Hamdy (90')
Moreno (12', 63'), Barreal (52')
Acosta (83'), Moreno (89')
Apr 2, 2022 9pm
Cincinnati
3-4
Montreal
Vazquez (12'), Johnston (20' og.), Acosta (61' pen.)
Gaddis (24'), Powell (28'), Blackett (90+1'), Acosta (90+4')
Mihailovic (17', 41'), Kamara (45+1'), Torres (67')
Waterman (70'), Breza (88'), Wanyama (90+4')
Aug 19, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 27
Cincinnati
0-0
Montreal
Cruz (36'), Matarrita (62'), Acosta (89'), Brenner (90+4')
Maciel (22'), Choiniere (26'), Camacho (68'), Camacho (74')
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 17
Montreal
5-4
Cincinnati
Hamdi Hussein Hafez (74')
Brenner (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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