Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | CF Montreal |
52.33% ( -0.36) | 24.05% ( 0.2) | 23.62% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 53.33% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.98% ( -0.72) | 48.01% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.81% ( -0.67) | 70.18% ( 0.66) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.68% ( -0.41) | 18.32% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.59% ( -0.69) | 49.4% ( 0.68) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.29% ( -0.27) | 34.71% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.56% ( -0.28) | 71.43% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | CF Montreal |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.33% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |