Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
46.44% ( -0.53) | 26.02% ( 0.48) | 27.54% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 50.87% ( -1.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.01% ( -1.87) | 52.99% ( 1.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.41% ( -1.62) | 74.59% ( 1.61) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.21% ( -1.03) | 22.79% ( 1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.5% ( -1.55) | 56.5% ( 1.54) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.89% ( -0.95) | 34.11% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.2% ( -1.04) | 70.79% ( 1.04) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.97% Total : 46.44% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |