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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
San Jose Earthquakes

NY Red Bulls
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Barlow (90+17')
Fernandez (11'), Nealis (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Espinoza (80')
Rodrigues (24'), Judson (56'), Marie (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Houston
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes may have made a decent start to the season, but it is still early days, and their terrible record at the Red Bull Arena cannot be ignored. As such, we expect the hosts to eke out a narrow 1-0 victory, which could act as a catalyst to kick-start their season after a very slow start.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
55.05% (1.148 1.15) 23.99% (-0.335 -0.34) 20.96% (-0.814 -0.81)
Both teams to score 50.1% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (0.422 0.42)50.61% (-0.423 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (0.369 0.37)72.52% (-0.372 -0.37)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (0.59400000000001 0.59)18.26% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68% (1.001 1)49.31% (-1.004 -1)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.3% (-0.582 -0.58)38.7% (0.58 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.56% (-0.557 -0.56)75.44% (0.55500000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 55.03%
    San Jose Earthquakes 20.96%
    Draw 23.99%
New York Red BullsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.21% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.79% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.46% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 55.03%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.42% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 20.96%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 11pm
Earthquakes
1-3
NY Red Bulls
Lopez (69')
Klimala (45+1'), Fernandez (72'), Barlow (90+2')
Casseres Jr (56'), Yearwood (65'), Tolkin (89')
Mar 16, 2019 7.30pm
NY Red Bulls
4-1
Earthquakes
Muyl (51', 71'), Wright-Phillips (85'), Royer (89')
Murillo (81')
Espinoza (5')
Wondolowski (45'), Godoy (47'), Lopez (65')
Oct 7, 2018 3.30am
Jul 20, 2017 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
2-2
Earthquakes
Villa (45'), Moralez (56')
McNamara (23'), Herrera (66'), Allen (91')
Morgan (11'), Vazquez (91' pen.)
Moor (28'), Bono (34'), Morgan (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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