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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Montreal Impact

New England
4 - 0
Montreal

Borrero (21'), Gil (45+4' pen.), Wood (50'), Vrioni (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Miller (26'), Corbo (45'), Wanyama (54'), Waterman (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 1-1 NY City
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 5-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 2-0 CF Montreal

A loss like the one they suffered in Vancouver cannot be good for the psyche of this Montreal team, who look dumbfounded away from home, while adjusting to the Losada style of play does not appear to be working. The Revs have been a force for most of the campaign, and we believe their mixture of youth and experience in the middle of the field will do some damage against a Montreal team that look like a wounded animal right now.

How to watch

You can watch New England Revolution vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawCF Montreal
49.83% (0.012 0.01) 24.37% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.8% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.43% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.64% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.33%50.67%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)32.54% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (-0.02 -0.02)69.07% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 49.83%
    CF Montreal 25.8%
    Draw 24.36%
New England RevolutionDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.83%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.97%
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 25.8%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
Aug 21, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
4-0
New England
Kamara (26'), Quioto (39', 55'), Miljevic (90+1' pen.)
Corbo (82')

Gil (88')
Sep 30, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
1-4
New England
Torres (32')
Piette (27'), Miller (90')
Jones (10'), Buksa (17'), Camacho (30' og.), Bou (86')
Bou (58'), Caicedo (90+2')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
New England
2-1
Montreal
Bou (29', 73')
McNamara (90+1'), Camilo Mafla Rebellon (90+5')
Nov 20, 2020 11.30pm
New England
2-1
Montreal
Gil (38'), Bou (90+5')
Bou (6'), McNamara (20')
Quioto (61')
Corrales (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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