Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Portland Timbers |
59.23% ( 0.07) | 21.73% ( -0.02) | 19.03% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.38% ( 0.04) | 43.62% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.99% ( 0.04) | 66.01% ( -0.04) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.63% ( 0.03) | 14.37% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.76% ( 0.06) | 42.24% ( -0.07) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.29% ( -0.02) | 36.7% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.51% ( -0.02) | 73.49% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Portland Timbers |
1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 59.23% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 19.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |