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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
St Louis City

Portland
1 - 2
St Louis City

McGraw (3')
Zuparic (54'), Moreno (68'), McGraw (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stroud (45+1'), Hiebert (75')
Stroud (29'), Perez (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Saturday, March 4 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 St Louis City

We believe that this fixture will present goalscoring opportunities for both teams, as the two sides are susceptible to lapses in concentration at the back. Therefore, we think that this affair will end level, but will be a high-scoring matchup due to the nature of both sides.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 58.67%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
58.67% (0.35599999999999 0.36) 20.54% (-0.13 -0.13) 20.79% (-0.218 -0.22)
Both teams to score 61.47% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.55% (0.31999999999999 0.32)35.46% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.51% (0.353 0.35)57.5% (-0.346 -0.35)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.09% (0.20399999999999 0.2)11.91% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.74% (0.423 0.42)37.26% (-0.415 -0.41)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)30.22% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)66.38% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 58.67%
    St Louis City 20.79%
    Draw 20.54%
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.03 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 58.67%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.6% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.54%
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 20.79%

How you voted: Portland vs Saint Louis City

Portland Timbers
30.8%
Draw
46.2%
Saint Louis City
23.1%
13
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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