Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 88.37%. A draw had a probability of 8.1% and a win for Saint Louis City had a probability of 3.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 0-4 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.78%), while for a Saint Louis City win it was 2-1 (1.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Saint Louis City would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint Louis City | Draw | Charlotte FC |
3.54% ( 0.08) | 8.08% ( 0.06) | 88.37% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 44.36% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.35% ( 0.22) | 23.65% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.86% ( 0.29) | 43.14% ( -0.29) |
Saint Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.89% ( 0.61) | 54.11% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.66% ( 0.37) | 87.34% ( -0.37) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.65% ( 0.01) | 3.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.28% ( 0.04) | 14.72% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Saint Louis City | Draw | Charlotte FC |
2-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.27% Total : 3.54% | 1-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.52% Total : 8.09% | 0-3 @ 11.83% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 10.45% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 10.04% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 7.27% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 6.83% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 0-6 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 1-6 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.05) 0-7 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) 1-7 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.33% Total : 88.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |