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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Millonarios
vs.
Bolivar

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Millonarios and Bolivar.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Palestino 3-1 Millonarios
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Bolivar 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millonarios win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Bolivar has a probability of 24.11% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Bolivar win is 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.23%).

Result
MillonariosDrawBolivar
52.14% (-0.436 -0.44) 23.75% (0.125 0.13) 24.11% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 54.86% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.244 -0.24)46.25% (0.241 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.45% (-0.23 -0.23)68.54% (0.226 0.23)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-0.254 -0.25)17.72% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.6% (-0.439 -0.44)48.39% (0.436 0.44)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (0.134 0.13)33.31% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (0.149 0.15)69.93% (-0.152 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Millonarios 52.13%
    Bolivar 24.11%
    Draw 23.75%
MillonariosDrawBolivar
1-0 @ 10.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.13%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 24.11%

Who will win Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Millonarios and Bolivar?

Millonarios
Draw
Bolivar
Millonarios
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bolivar
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Bolivar
3-2
Millonarios
Sagredo (3'), Da Costa (10'), Savio (34')
Savio (38'), da Costa (75')
Rocha (25')
Castro (45+1', 72')
Pablo Vargas (15'), Castro (38')
Alfonzo (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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