We said: CF Montreal 1-2 Houston Dynamo
It is usually very good or very poor with Montreal, with their 11 wins and 16 defeats from 31 MLS games this season, but with the pressure on against tough opposition, this could be a struggle.
The post-cup-win hangover can be forgiven after an uneventful draw at the weekend, but Houston could well return to winning ways here.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.