Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | St Louis City |
62.98% ( -0.62) | 20.37% ( 0.02) | 16.64% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 54.07% ( 1.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.51% ( 1.08) | 41.48% ( -1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.11% ( 1.08) | 63.88% ( -1.08) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.43% ( 0.16) | 12.56% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.37% ( 0.32) | 38.63% ( -0.31) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.83% ( 1.41) | 38.16% ( -1.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.07% ( 1.33) | 74.93% ( -1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | St Louis City |
2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 62.98% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |