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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Sevilla logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Sevilla

Lejeune (65')
Garcia (38'), Lejeune (49'), Isi (69'), Catena (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Suso (29')
En-Nesyri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, February 12 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 PSV
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla

Rayo will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into this match, and they will fancy their chances of putting another win on the board here. Sevilla will enter the contest off the back of two strong results, though, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla
35.18% (-0.212 -0.21) 26.71% (-0.073 -0.07) 38.11% (0.284 0.28)
Both teams to score 51.8% (0.214 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (0.28 0.28)53.22% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (0.239 0.24)74.78% (-0.241 -0.24)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)64.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.29299999999999 0.29)27.15% (-0.295 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (0.383 0.38)62.55% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 35.18%
    Sevilla 38.11%
    Draw 26.7%
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.18%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.67% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.11%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla

Rayo Vallecano
33.3%
Draw
40.0%
Sevilla
26.7%
105
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')
Apr 25, 2019 6.30pm
Sevilla
5-0
Rayo Vallecano
Promes (55'), El Haddadi (57', 62'), Ben Yedder (69'), Gil (86')
Banega (31')

Galvez (33'), Angel Pozo (52')
Aug 19, 2018 7.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-4
Sevilla
Embarba (85' pen.)
Angel Pozo (12')
Vazquez (15'), Silva (31', 45', 79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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