Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Cadiz |
57.9% ( 0.08) | 23.72% ( 0.11) | 18.38% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 46.92% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.25% ( -0.66) | 52.75% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.62% ( -0.57) | 74.38% ( 0.56) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82% ( -0.22) | 18% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.13% ( -0.37) | 48.86% ( 0.37) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.22% ( -0.6) | 42.78% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.89% ( -0.52) | 79.1% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 57.9% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |