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Alaves logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Sevilla logo

Alaves
0 - 1
Sevilla


Jason (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rakitic (48')
Rekik (24'), Gudelj (31'), Acuna (34'), Bade (64')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Round of 16 clash between Alaves and Sevilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Oviedo 1-0 Alaves
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
AlavesDrawSevilla
29.78% (-0.107 -0.11) 27.85% (0.247 0.25) 42.37% (-0.139 -0.14)
Both teams to score 46.84% (-0.735 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.2% (-0.91 -0.91)58.8% (0.91 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.68% (-0.711 -0.71)79.32% (0.712 0.71)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53% (-0.56399999999999 -0.56)35.47% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (-0.59 -0.59)72.23% (0.59099999999999 0.59)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57% (-0.5 -0.5)27.43% (0.501 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.09% (-0.653 -0.65)62.91% (0.653 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 29.77%
    Sevilla 42.37%
    Draw 27.85%
AlavesDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.188 0.19)
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 29.77%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.73% (0.331 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 12.58% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.14% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 42.37%

How you voted: Alaves vs Sevilla

Alaves
21.3%
Draw
12.8%
Sevilla
66.0%
47
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2022 8pm
Alaves
0-0
Sevilla

Lejeune (34'), Duarte (49'), Pons (62')

Jordan (12')
Nov 20, 2021 3.15pm
Sevilla
2-2
Alaves
Ocampos (38'), Rakitic (90+2')
Ocampos (45+6'), Mir (60'), Lopetegui (90+5'), Fernando (90+5'), Rakitic (90+5')
Laguardia (5'), Joselu (45+7' pen.)
N'Diaye (45'), Duarte (50'), Mendez (73'), Lejeune (89')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Jan 19, 2021 8.30pm
Alaves
1-2
Sevilla
Mendez (12')
Lejeune (48'), Mendez (56'), Pons (72')
En-Nesyri (3'), Suso (30')
En-Nesyri (81'), Bono (89'), Navas (90')
Feb 2, 2020 5.30pm
Sevilla
1-1
Alaves
Ocampos (77' pen.)
Reguilon (48'), Vazquez (81')
Joselu (70')
Laguardia (64')
rhs 2.0
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