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Celta Vigo logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 8, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Real Betis logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Betis

Camello (20')
Garcia (51'), Trejo (57'), Valentin (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Balliu (7' og.), Henrique (40')
Carvalho (53'), Henrique (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Betis

Rayo Vallecano have only lost once at home in the league this season, while Real Betis have won just two of their seven games on their travels, so it is not straightforward to pick an away victory here. The Green and Whites will believe that they have the players to collect all three points, but we have settled on a draw, as Rayo Vallecano will also bring a seven-game unbeaten run in La Liga into the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Betis
41.83% (0.208 0.21) 27.33% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 30.84% (-0.231 -0.23)
Both teams to score 48.78% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.45% (-0.165 -0.16)56.55% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.46% (-0.133 -0.13)77.53% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.036000000000001 0.04)26.66% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.046999999999997 0.05)61.9% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (-0.252 -0.25)33.48% (0.255 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-0.277 -0.28)70.12% (0.279 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 41.83%
    Real Betis 30.84%
    Draw 27.33%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.8% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 41.83%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.93% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.84%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Betis

Rayo Vallecano
37.9%
Draw
33.3%
Real Betis
28.8%
66
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Betis
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Iglesias (90+2')
Jose (79')
Bebe (80')
Balliu (71')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Betis
Garcia (5')
Valentin (65')
Iglesias (26'), Carvalho (68')
Silva (78')
Jan 9, 2022 1pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Betis
Balliu (70')
Garcia (55')
Canales (45+2')
Canales (34'), Guardado (45+6'), Pellegrini (45+8'), Silva (87')
Moreno (33')
Oct 24, 2021 5.30pm
Betis
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Moreno (22'), Juanmi (24'), Jose (75' pen.)
Gonzalez (32')
Nteka (45+1'), Garcia (65')
Garcia (31'), Trejo (61')
Jan 23, 2020 8pm
Round of 32
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Betis
Rayo Vallecano win 4-2 on penalties
Catena (47'), Martin (117')
Montiel (26'), Trejo (58'), Valentin (58'), Catena (62'), Suarez (107'), Garcia (112')
Joaquin (84'), Moron (97')
Alena (38'), Bartra (63'), Feddal (94'), Tello (113')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
RCadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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