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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Cardiff


King (48'), Gardner-Hickman (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ng (66')
Etete (15'), Wilson-Esbrand (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Cardiff City

Despite some unacceptable results since the turn of the calendar year, Bristol City have shown the ability to rise to the big occasion at Ashton Gate, and we feel that the Robins could repeat the trick on Saturday. Cardiff's win over struggling Stoke last time out was much needed, but we believe it does not signal a long-term change in fortunes for the Bluebirds during the remainder of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
44.13% (-0.11 -0.11) 25.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 29.92% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.54% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.48% (0.010999999999996 0.01)51.52% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.32% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)23.25% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.067 -0.07)57.16% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (0.076999999999998 0.08)31.54% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (0.090999999999998 0.09)67.93% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 44.12%
    Cardiff City 29.92%
    Draw 25.95%
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.8% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.12%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 29.92%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Cardiff

Bristol City
64.3%
Draw
14.3%
Cardiff City
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
2-0
Bristol City
Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City441912136556969
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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