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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Stoke

Etete (5'), Grant (32')
Ng (40'), Siopis (51'), Ralls (76'), Goutas (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bae (41')
Thompson (45+2'), Burger (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 Blackburn
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Coventry
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City

Cardiff's season is beginning to stagnate following a worrying run of results, and we cannot envisage a change in the Bluebirds' fortunes on Saturday. Stoke have been more competitive in matches recently under Schumacher, and we believe that the Potters will be good enough to return to Staffordshire with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Cardiff City has a probability of 31.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
31.55% (-0.18 -0.18) 26.76% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 41.69% (0.2 0.2)
Both teams to score 50.77% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)54.14% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)75.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.107 -0.11)31.73% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (-0.122 -0.12)68.16% (0.12 0.12)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.11999999999999 0.12)25.63% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (0.16699999999999 0.17)60.52% (-0.169 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 31.55%
    Stoke City 41.69%
    Draw 26.75%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 11.07% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.42% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.69%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
39.5%
Draw
34.9%
Stoke City
25.6%
43
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
0-0
Cardiff
McNally (42')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
1-1
Stoke
Kaba (29')
Laurent (16')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
17Millwall441411194355-1253
18Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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