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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Cardiff City |
52.14% ( 0.01) | 24.36% ( -0.16) | 23.5% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 52.21% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.57% ( 0.78) | 49.43% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.53% ( 0.7) | 71.47% ( -0.7) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.07% ( 0.3) | 18.93% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.56% ( 0.51) | 50.44% ( -0.51) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.41% ( 0.56) | 35.59% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.64% ( 0.57) | 72.36% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.13% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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