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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Stoke logo

Blackburn
3 - 1
Stoke

Dolan (7', 37'), Szmodics (19')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ennis (39')
McNally (29'), Tchamadeu (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-5 Leicester
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Stoke City

Although Eustace could be in the dugout in time for Saturday, we do not expect a new manager bounce immediately for Blackburn this weekend. Stoke were woeful in the Leicester defeat, but with a couple of alterations to the XI they should be good enough for three points from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawStoke City
46.16% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.12%30.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)38.42% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.29% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)60.71% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.02% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.16% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)24.44% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)58.88% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 46.16%
    Stoke City 30.72%
    Draw 23.11%
Blackburn RoversDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 46.16%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 30.72%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Stoke

Blackburn Rovers
48.6%
Draw
18.9%
Stoke City
32.4%
37
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Stoke
0-3
Blackburn

Thompson (90+1'), Pearson (90+2')
Wharton (4'), Moran (86'), Szmodics (90+1')
Dolan (45+1')
Mar 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Stoke
3-2
Blackburn
Hoever (24', 43'), Campbell (75')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Rankin-Costello (10'), Travis (41'), Famiwuya (59')
Baker (27')
Gayle (57'), Fosu (84'), Baker (90+6')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Wharton (32'), Paul van Hecke (34')
Brown (4')
Maja (23'), Smith (56')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
0-1
Blackburn

Brown (60'), Davies (74'), Chester (75'), Wilmot (90')
Khadra (52')
Dolan (74'), Nyambe (81'), Pickering (89'), Brereton Diaz (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City441912136556969
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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