Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 71.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 11.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Ostersunds FK win it was 1-2 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.