Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 69.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 11.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.01%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Ostersunds FK win it was 1-0 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.