World Cup Qualifying - South America Gameweek 16
Jun 11, 2025 1.45am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Vinicius Junior 28' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 44' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 6'

Brazil vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Jun 6, 2025 12.00am
Ecuador 0 - 0 Brazil

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Jun 6, 2025 12.00am
Paraguay 2 - 0 Uruguay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brazil win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw has a probability of 20.3% and a win for Paraguay has a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.85%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Paraguay win it is 0-1 (4.83%).

Result

Brazil 67.93% (-0.44)
Draw 20.27% (+0.25)
Paraguay 11.8% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.93% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.9% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 51.1% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 27.04% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 72.96% (+0.46)
Over 4.5 12.68% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 87.32% (+0.31)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5 85.92% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 14.08% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 58.31% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 41.69% (+0.59)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 48.8% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 51.2% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 14.52% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 85.48% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Brazil 67.92%
Draw 20.27%
Paraguay 11.8%
Brazil
1-0 @ 14.13% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 13.85% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.05% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 4.44% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 67.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.46% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.21% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 20.27%
Paraguay
0-1 @ 4.83% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 3.17% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.62% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 11.8%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 11, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Diego Gomez 20' goal
  • Diego Gomez 20' goal
  • Damian Bobadilla 45' yellowcard
  • Diego Gomez 45' yellowcard
  • Damian Bobadilla 45' yellowcard
  • Diego Gomez 45' yellowcard
  • Junior Alonso 70' yellowcard
  • Junior Alonso 70' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 85' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Paqueta 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Lucas Paqueta 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 90'+3'
Copa America
Jun 29, 2024 2.00am
1
4
HT : 0 6
FT Allegiant Stadium
  • Omar Alderete 48' goal
  • Omar Alderete 48' goal
  • Fabian Balbuena 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Fabian Balbuena 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Andres Cubas 81' redcard
  • Andres Cubas 81' redcard
  • Hernesto Caballero 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Hernesto Caballero 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 35'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 35'
  • goal Savio 43'
  • goal Savio 43'
  • yellowcard Wendell 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Wendell 45'+3'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 45'+5'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 45'+5'
  • goal Lucas Paqueta 65'
  • goal Lucas Paqueta 65'
  • yellowcard Lucas Paqueta 70'
  • yellowcard Lucas Paqueta 70'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 83'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 83'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Feb 2, 2022 12.30am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Raphinha 28' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 62' goal
  • Antony 86' goal
  • Rodrygo 88' goal
  • yellowcard Santiago Arzamendia 20'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gonzalez 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 78'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Jun 9, 2021 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gustavo Gomez 21' yellowcard
  • Antonio Bareiro 87' yellowcard
  • Junior Alonso 88' yellowcard
  • Omar Alderete 88' yellowcard
  • goal Neymar 4'
  • yellowcard Fred 43'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 76'
  • goal Lucas Paqueta 90'+3'
Copa America
Jun 28, 2019 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio, Porto Alegre
  • Filipe Luis 44' yellowcard
  • Roberto Firmino 47' yellowcard
  • Arthur 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Arzamendia 30'
  • yellowcard Ivan Piris 34'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 37'
  • redcard Fabian Balbuena 58'
International Friendlies
Jun 9, 2019 1.00am