Women's World Cup | Quarter-Finals

Aug 12, 2023 at 11.30am UK

ANZ Stadium

England Women
2 - 1
Colombia Women

Hemp (45+6'), Russo (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Santos (44')

The Match

Match Report

England Women come back from a goal down to defeat Colombia Women 2-1 and progress to the Women's World Cup semi-finals at Stadium Australia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's World Cup clash between England Women and Colombia Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

England Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: England Women 0-0 Nigeria Women (4-2 pen.)
Monday, August 7 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England Women	3	7	9
2	Denmark Women	3	2	6
3	China PR Women	3	-5	3
4	Haiti Women	3	-4	0

Colombia Women

All competitions

Last Game: Colombia Women 1-0 Jamaica Women
Tuesday, August 8 at 9am in Women's World Cup

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia Women	3	2	6
2	Morocco Women	3	-4	6
3	Germany Women	3	5	4
4	South Korea Women	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 74.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Colombia Women had a probability of 9.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 3-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Colombia Women win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.

Result
England Women	Draw	Colombia Women
74.91% ( 0.06)	15.95% ( -0.04)	9.13% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.32% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.24% (

0.12)

39.76% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.88% (

0.13)

62.11% (

-0.13)

England Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.97% (

0.05)

9.03% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.26% (

0.11)

30.74% (

-0.11)

Colombia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.92% (

0.03)

49.08% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.99% (

0.02)

84.01% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

England Women 74.91%

Colombia Women 9.13%

Draw 15.95%

England Women	Draw	Colombia Women
2-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.74% Total : 74.91%	1-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 15.95%	0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 9.13%