Women's World Cup | Round of 16

Aug 8, 2023 at 9am UK

AAMI Park

Colombia Women
1 - 0
Jamaica Women

Usme (51')
Alexandra Arias Rojas (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Swaby (41'), Spence (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's World Cup clash between Colombia Women and Jamaica Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia Women

All competitions

Last Game: Morocco Women 1-0 Colombia Women
Thursday, August 3 at 11am in Women's World Cup

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia Women	3	2	6
2	Morocco Women	3	-4	6
3	Germany Women	3	5	4
4	South Korea Women	3	-3	1

Jamaica Women

All competitions

Last Game: Jamaica Women 0-0 Brazil Women
Wednesday, August 2 at 11am in Women's World Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Women	3	4	7
2	Jamaica Women	3	1	5
3	Brazil Women	3	3	4
4	Panama Women	3	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia Women win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Jamaica Women had a probability of 13.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.14%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Jamaica Women win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colombia Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia Women.

Result
Colombia Women	Draw	Jamaica Women
63.88% ( 0.27)	23% ( 0.02)	13.12% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 38.3% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.71% (

-0.59)

58.29% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.09% (

-0.46)

78.91% (

0.46)

Colombia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13% (

-0.11)

17.87% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.36% (

-0.2)

48.64% (

0.2)

Jamaica Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.63% (

-0.83)

53.37% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.12% (

-0.53)

86.88% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Colombia Women 63.88%

Jamaica Women 13.12%

Draw 23%

Colombia Women	Draw	Jamaica Women
1-0 @ 16.42% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 14.14% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 63.88%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.02% Total : 13.12%